历史保费跟踪Premium Tracker

追踪方案A/B保费总成本随时间变化,帮你选择IV低位入场。点击图上数据点查看详情。Track Plan A/B total premium cost over time — enter when IV is low. Click data points for details.

快照详情Snapshot Detail

市场数据Market Data

方案APlan A: ATM×8 + OTM×20

方案BPlan B: OTM×24

损益曲线 (方案A)Payoff Curve (Plan A)

行权价参考Strike Reference

IV水平参考IV Level Guide

ATM IV < 16%: 低位,适合入场Low — good entry  16%-20%: 正常水平Normal  > 20%: 偏高,保费贵High — expensive
OTM IV因skew通常比ATM高3-5个百分点。恐慌期IV可能达25-30%+,保费翻倍。 OTM IV is typically 3-5pp higher than ATM due to skew. During panic, IV can reach 25-30%+, doubling premiums.
策略Strategy:等IV回落到16%以下时买入Put,可以用更低的成本获得同样的保护。: Wait for IV to drop below 16% before buying Puts — same protection at lower cost.